Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.008039 0.009041 0.010136 0.011424 0.012900 0.014545 0.016520
2025-01-26 0.006406 0.007755 0.009357 0.011413 0.013997 0.017160 0.021357
2025-02-02 0.005737 0.007296 0.009256 0.011925 0.015503 0.020187 0.026871
2025-02-09 0.005053 0.006678 0.008811 0.011858 0.016158 0.022103 0.031113
2025-02-16 0.004593 0.006272 0.008564 0.011974 0.017011 0.024326 0.036029
2025-02-23 0.004137 0.005809 0.008167 0.011801 0.017386 0.025852 0.040068
2025-03-02 0.003850 0.005550 0.008020 0.011958 0.018241 0.028168 0.045640
2025-03-09 0.003546 0.005229 0.007742 0.011870 0.018683 0.029857 0.050386
2025-03-16 0.003187 0.004792 0.007244 0.011373 0.018390 0.030276 0.052950
2025-03-23 0.002972 0.004557 0.007033 0.011315 0.018810 0.031938 0.057981
2025-03-30 0.002900 0.004540 0.007166 0.011836 0.020277 0.035613 0.067381
2025-04-06 0.002662 0.004234 0.006799 0.011457 0.020089 0.036219 0.070778
2025-04-13 0.002454 0.003967 0.006487 0.011167 0.020073 0.037230 0.075360
2025-04-20 0.002312 0.003804 0.006341 0.011167 0.020615 0.039419 0.082909
2025-04-27 0.002263 0.003795 0.006460 0.011666 0.022181 0.043889 0.096397
2025-05-04 0.002134 0.003635 0.006293 0.011600 0.022600 0.046007 0.104786
2025-05-11 0.002042 0.003532 0.006223 0.011714 0.023400 0.049056 0.116050
2025-05-18 0.001921 0.003368 0.006022 0.011545 0.023571 0.050708 0.124060
2025-05-25 0.001850 0.003291 0.005982 0.011698 0.024463 0.054153 0.137554
2025-06-01 0.001756 0.003164 0.005835 0.011612 0.024807 0.056333 0.148012
2025-06-08 0.001625 0.002958 0.005515 0.011127 0.024174 0.056018 0.151215
2025-06-15 0.001551 0.002855 0.005396 0.011071 0.024545 0.058297 0.162663
2025-06-22 0.001539 0.002876 0.005527 0.011579 0.026340 0.064554 0.187950